Ação vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ação
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
LTD
1 - 1
ACA
69%
19%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
ANA
2 - 0
ACA
76%
17%
7%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 2
IPO
15%
21%
64%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
IPO
3 - 0
ACA
67%
22%
11%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ACA
2 - 3
ANA
15%
22%
64%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CEI
0 - 1
BRA
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
IPO
2 - 1
CEI
36%
30%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CEI
1 - 2
ANA
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2022 |
ANA
2 - 0
CEI
40%
29%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CEI
0 - 0
IPO
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |