Sobradinho vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
SOB
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOB
0 - 1
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
LUZ
1 - 1
SOB
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SOB
0 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SOB
1 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
GAM
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GAM
2 - 1
SAN
74%
18%
9%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 1
GAM
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GAM
1 - 2
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
GAM
2 - 1
CEI
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |