Sobradinho vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
SOB
2 - 3
RIO
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1986 |
NAC
1 - 1
SOB
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
SOB
1 - 1
ATM
14%
23%
63%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
SOB
0 - 1
CRI
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
CEA
3 - 1
SOB
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
NAC
0 - 0
CEA
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1986 |
CEA
2 - 2
VAS
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
CEA
3 - 1
SOB
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
CRI
2 - 0
CEA
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
CEA
1 - 2
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |