Sobradinho vs Capital Brasilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 1
SOB
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SOB
0 - 1
BRA
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
CEI
0 - 0
SOB
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SOB
3 - 1
CEI
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
SOB
2 - 1
DOM
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CEI
1 - 3
CAP
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
0 - 1
BRA
12%
19%
70%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
0 - 1
UNA
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
CAP
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 2
FOR
31%
24%
44%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |