Sobradinho vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SOB
1 - 1
TAG
17%
20%
63%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
DOM
2 - 0
SOB
33%
24%
44%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SOB
3 - 0
CAP
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 1
SOB
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SOB
0 - 1
BRA
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 2
ARN
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ARN
0 - 2
GLO
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
ARN
3 - 0
PAL
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ABC
3 - 0
ARN
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ARN
1 - 1
POT
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |