Smouha SC vs Ghazl El Mehalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
9º
17º
10º
33
2º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smouha SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
SMO
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
SMO
0 - 2
ALI
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
ELD
0 - 0
SMO
14%
25%
62%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SMO
0 - 0
MOK
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
SMO
1 - 2
ASW
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ghazl El Mehalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
GHA
0 - 0
PHA
50%
29%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
CCF
1 - 0
GHA
54%
27%
19%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
GHA
3 - 2
GEI
30%
32%
38%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GHA
2 - 1
ELD
54%
27%
20%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
GHA
0 - 2
ALA
22%
28%
50%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |