Smorgon II vs Neman Mosty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
45.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+961%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
5º
5º
4
3º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
7 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 8 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
4 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smorgon II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NEB
3 - 0
SMO
82%
11%
7%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SMO
1 - 6
SVA
25%
20%
55%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
SMO
2 - 2
DYA
30%
20%
50%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OSH
3 - 4
SMO
38%
21%
42%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SMO
3 - 1
FSK
84%
10%
6%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Neman Mosty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NEM
1 - 0
FCS
30%
20%
50%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DYA
2 - 2
NEM
62%
18%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NEM
0 - 5
SVA
34%
22%
45%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SLC
2 - 5
NEM
48%
20%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NEB
4 - 2
NEM
77%
13%
10%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |