Smitshoek vs ASWH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+107%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
14º
6º
66
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
89% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smitshoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 2
SMI
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SMI
3 - 0
RVV
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LRC
2 - 2
SMI
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SMI
3 - 0
NIE
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RKA
1 - 0
SMI
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ASW
4 - 0
VOC
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HEE
0 - 0
ASW
51%
21%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ASW
1 - 0
CAP
18%
21%
61%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DSO
1 - 2
ASW
56%
20%
25%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ASW
2 - 2
FCS
22%
19%
59%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |