1. Liga round 19

Smiltene vs Rigas FS II analysis

Smiltene Rigas FS II
31 ELO 43
41.5% Tilt 32.5%
9163º General ELO ranking 2719º
26º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
36.1%
Smiltene
22.4%
Draw
41.4%
Rigas FS II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
Smiltene
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
41.5%
Win probability
Rigas FS II
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Smiltene
-35%
+36%
Rigas FS II

ELO progression

Smiltene
Rigas FS II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Smiltene
Smiltene
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2022
VAL
Valmiera II
5 - 0
Smiltene
SMI
75%
16%
9%
33 58 25 0
03 Sep. 2022
SMI
Smiltene
0 - 5
Riga FC II
RIG
19%
21%
60%
34 61 27 -1
28 Aug. 2022
SAL
Salaspils
9 - 2
Smiltene
SMI
29%
21%
50%
36 30 6 -2
21 Aug. 2022
SMI
Smiltene
0 - 3
AFA Olaine
PRA
30%
22%
47%
38 49 11 -2
06 Aug. 2022
SKA
Skanstes
0 - 0
Smiltene
SMI
66%
20%
15%
38 55 17 0

Matches

Rigas FS II
Rigas FS II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2022
RIG
Rigas FS II
0 - 1
JDFS Alberts
ALB
22%
23%
54%
42 52 10 0
03 Sep. 2022
DRS
Dinamo Rīga / Stailece Bebr
1 - 6
Rigas FS II
RIG
65%
20%
15%
39 46 7 +3
27 Aug. 2022
SAL
Saldus SS/Leevon
0 - 3
Rigas FS II
RIG
56%
22%
22%
38 41 3 +1
20 Aug. 2022
GRO
Grobiņa
2 - 3
Rigas FS II
RIG
82%
12%
6%
36 56 20 +2
05 Aug. 2022
RIG
Rigas FS II
0 - 1
FS Jelgava
JGV
14%
20%
66%
37 64 27 -1