1. Liga round 12

Smiltene vs Grobiņa analysis

Smiltene Grobiņa
45 ELO 49
36.8% Tilt 31.8%
9134º General ELO ranking 1966º
26º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.9%
Smiltene
21.5%
Draw
40.6%
Grobiņa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
Smiltene
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
40.6%
Win probability
Grobiņa
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Smiltene
-35%
-44%
Grobiņa

ELO progression

Smiltene
Grobiņa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Smiltene
Smiltene
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2021
SMI
Smiltene
1 - 1
JDFS Alberts
ALB
41%
25%
34%
44 52 8 0
18 Sep. 2021
SAL
Saldus SS/Leevon
4 - 1
Smiltene
SMI
32%
22%
45%
46 42 4 -2
11 Sep. 2021
AUD
FK Auda
7 - 0
Smiltene
SMI
80%
13%
7%
47 62 15 -1
05 Sep. 2021
SUP
SK Super Nova
8 - 0
Smiltene
SMI
57%
21%
22%
48 54 6 -1
28 Aug. 2021
DRS
Dinamo Rīga / Stailece Bebr
3 - 1
Smiltene
SMI
43%
24%
33%
49 50 1 -1

Matches

Grobiņa
Grobiņa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2021
GRO
Grobiņa
1 - 5
FK Auda
AUD
26%
24%
51%
50 63 13 0
25 Sep. 2021
ASC
Albatroz
1 - 1
Grobiņa
GRO
41%
24%
35%
50 52 2 0
19 Sep. 2021
ALB
JDFS Alberts
1 - 1
Grobiņa
GRO
45%
23%
32%
49 52 3 +1
11 Sep. 2021
SAL
Saldus SS/Leevon
1 - 2
Grobiņa
GRO
25%
21%
53%
49 43 6 0
08 Sep. 2021
GRO
Grobiņa
1 - 0
Dinamo Rīga / Stailece Bebr
DRS
47%
23%
30%
48 53 5 +1