Superettan Round 21

Skovde AIK vs Gefle analysis

Skovde AIK Gefle
62 ELO 64
-8.4% Tilt 2.2%
3889º General ELO ranking 3730º
44º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
38.1%
Skovde AIK
26.6%
Draw
35.2%
Gefle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
Skovde AIK
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.2%
Win probability
Gefle
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Skovde AIK
-15%
-25%
Gefle

Points and table prediction

Skovde AIK
Their league position
Gefle
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
16º
16º
32
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Degerfors IF
55
55
100%
Osters IF
54
54
100%
Landskrona BoIS
49
49
100%
Helsingborgs IF
47
47
100%
Örgryte
44
44
100%
Sandvikens IF
43
43
100%
Trelleborgs FF
42
42
100%
IK Brage
41
41
0%
Utsiktens BK
41
41
0%
Varbergs BoIS
10º
39
39
10º
0%
Orebro SK
11º
39
39
11º
0%
IK Oddevold
12º
36
36
12º
100%
GIF Sundsvall
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Gefle
15º
32
32
14º
0%
Östersunds FK
14º
32
32
15º
0%
Skovde AIK
16º
25
25
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Skovde AIK
Gefle
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

Skovde AIK
Gefle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Skovde AIK
Skovde AIK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2024
OST
Östersunds FK
2 - 2
Skovde AIK
SKO
51%
25%
24%
63 67 4 0
20 Aug. 2024
AIF
Arsunda IF
0 - 5
Skovde AIK
SKO
5%
14%
81%
63 10 53 0
17 Aug. 2024
SKO
Skovde AIK
1 - 3
Helsingborgs IF
HEL
30%
27%
43%
64 69 5 -1
09 Aug. 2024
IKB
IK Brage
2 - 0
Skovde AIK
SKO
60%
23%
17%
64 72 8 0
04 Aug. 2024
SKO
Skovde AIK
0 - 2
Örgryte
ORG
38%
27%
35%
65 66 1 -1

Matches

Gefle
Gefle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2024
GEF
Gefle
2 - 1
Osters IF
OIF
22%
24%
54%
63 77 14 0
22 Aug. 2024
HUD
Huddinge
0 - 1
Gefle
GEF
14%
19%
68%
63 46 17 0
17 Aug. 2024
ORE
Orebro SK
4 - 1
Gefle
GEF
48%
26%
27%
64 67 3 -1
10 Aug. 2024
GEF
Gefle
0 - 4
Varbergs BoIS
VAR
44%
25%
32%
64 65 1 0
03 Aug. 2024
SAN
Sandvikens IF
4 - 0
Gefle
GEF
63%
21%
17%
65 71 6 -1