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Denmark Third Division. Matchday 23

Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus Holstebro
28 ELO 4
-21% Tilt 20%
3702º General ELO ranking 9564º
41º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
39.9%
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
28.6%
Draw
31.5%
Holstebro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.5%
Win probability
Holstebro
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
-4%
-17%
Holstebro

Points and table prediction

Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
Their league position
Holstebro
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
7
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Jammerbugt
50
58
99%
B93
44
51
98%
Thisted
38
44
23%
Frem 1886
38
42
23%
Aarhus Fremad
37
43
22%
Middelfart
34
40
19%
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
34
40
18%
Brabrand
33
38
24%
Dalum
32
37
32%
Næsby BK
10º
26
31
10º
69%
Sydvest
11º
21
26
12º
39%
Holbæk
12º
21
27
11º
42%
SfB-Oure
13º
11
16
13º
73%
Holstebro
14º
7
12
14º
67%
Expected probabilities
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
Holstebro
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
48% 0%
Relegation playoffs
52% 100%

ELO progression

Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
SKI
Holstebro
HOL
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
Næsby BK
NAS
Frem 1886
FRE
Jammerbugt
JAM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO SKI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2021
DAL
Dalum
0 - 4
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
SKI
47%
27%
26%
351 373 22 0
01 May. 2021
SKI
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
1 - 2
Aarhus Fremad
AAF
47%
27%
26%
352 212 140 -1
23 Apr. 2021
JAM
Jammerbugt
1 - 0
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
SKI
49%
26%
25%
353 455 102 -1
17 Apr. 2021
SKI
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
1 - 0
Sydvest
SYD
51%
26%
23%
352 132 220 +1
10 Apr. 2021
B93
B93
1 - 1
Vejlby Skovbakken Aarhus
SKI
47%
27%
26%
352 436 84 0

Matches

Holstebro
Holstebro
1%
X%
2%
ELO HOL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2021
NAS
Næsby BK
1 - 0
Holstebro
HOL
51%
26%
23%
48 280 232 -1
25 Apr. 2021
HOL
Holstebro
1 - 2
Thisted
THI
39%
28%
33%
49 219 -170 -1
17 Apr. 2021
OFA
SfB-Oure
3 - 2
Holstebro
HOL
47%
27%
26%
50 114 64 -1
11 Apr. 2021
HOL
Holstebro
1 - 2
Middelfart
MID
39%
28%
33%
51 231 -180 -1
05 Apr. 2021
JAM
Jammerbugt
1 - 0
Holstebro
HOL
55%
25%
21%
52 451 399 -1