KF Shkëndija vs Bregalnica Štip analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
3º
1º
28
4º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
RAB
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
SHK
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 0
VOK
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 0
SHK
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BRE
4 - 0
KGE
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
GOS
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 1
BRE
51%
24%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
SHK
22%
26%
52%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 0
BRE
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |