SKChF Sevastopol vs Nart Cherkessk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
2º
8º
5º
16
4º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 49 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 43 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 41 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 39 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 37 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 24 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 18 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 9 |
14º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKChF Sevastopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FKP
1 - 2
SKC
32%
25%
44%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SKC
2 - 0
FKP
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 0
SKC
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SKC
1 - 0
FKK
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AST
5 - 2
SKC
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Nart Cherkessk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
NCH
1 - 0
DMA
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
NCH
1 - 0
ROS
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
DDA
1 - 3
NCH
18%
19%
64%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NCH
2 - 3
FOT
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SKS
2 - 1
NCH
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |