Sivasspor vs Fatih Karagümrük analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
8º
16º
13º
51
7º
17º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
2º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
97.5% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
40 | 40 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
92.5% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sivasspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BJK
3 - 1
SIV
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
SIV
0 - 2
MFF
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
SIV
1 - 1
ALA
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
MFF
3 - 1
SIV
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ADA
3 - 0
SIV
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fatih Karagümrük
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FAT
4 - 1
ANK
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BJK
4 - 1
FAT
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FAT
2 - 4
ALA
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
SAK
3 - 3
FAT
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 1
ALA
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |