Sittingbourne vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sittingbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
SIT
0 - 1
LEA
12%
20%
68%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
SIT
55%
22%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SIT
0 - 1
FOL
13%
22%
65%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
THR
1 - 2
SIT
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WAL
4 - 0
SIT
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 2
HOR
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 1
TOO
43%
23%
34%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
TOW
3 - 1
HOR
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 1
COR
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 1
HOR
84%
12%
5%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | +1 |