Sitatunga vs AS Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sitatunga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
RAT
0 - 1
SFC
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 1
UPI
61%
20%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
SFC
47%
22%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 1
ASP
56%
22%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2021 |
CSO
1 - 0
SFC
62%
19%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AS Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
POL
0 - 3
EFC
31%
25%
45%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
ASP
2 - 1
POL
55%
25%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
POL
0 - 2
CSO
29%
24%
47%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 2
POL
62%
21%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
POL
1 - 2
RAT
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |