Syria vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2000 |
KWT
4 - 0
SYR
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
SYR
1 - 1
PSE
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
SCG
2 - 2
SYR
69%
19%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1999 |
SYR
1 - 1
LBY
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1999 |
SYR
1 - 1
OMN
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1999 |
THA
2 - 2
PRK
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1998 |
IND
0 - 2
PRK
21%
26%
53%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1998 |
PRK
1 - 1
TKM
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1998 |
PRK
0 - 4
UZB
51%
22%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
ARE
4 - 1
PRK
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |