Sint-Niklaas vs Ardennen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
74.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
16º
16º
44
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
92% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
40.5% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
75% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 37 |
13º
|
94.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 0 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sint-Niklaas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KHZ
10 - 0
STN
86%
10%
5%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
STN
0 - 5
KVV
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SKM
17 - 1
STN
91%
7%
3%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HAA
3 - 0
STN
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
STN
0 - 2
BER
12%
17%
71%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ardennen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ARD
4 - 0
DEN
36%
22%
42%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SKM
3 - 1
ARD
70%
16%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SOT
2 - 1
ARD
48%
22%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ARD
0 - 1
GBG
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
KVV
0 - 1
ARD
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |