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Matogrossense. Quarters

Aggregate 1-2. First leg 1-0

Sinop FC vs Nova Mutum analysis

Sinop FC Nova Mutum
27 ELO 46
48% Tilt -53%
5047º General ELO ranking 2152º
297º Country ELO ranking 133º
ELO win probability
67.2%
Sinop FC
21.5%
Draw
11.2%
Nova Mutum

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
Sinop FC
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.2%
Win probability
Nova Mutum
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%