Port FC vs Nong Bua Pitchaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
12º
3º
18
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
50.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
KHU
1 - 0
SIN
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
SIN
4 - 0
CHI
71%
17%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
SIN
2 - 2
BEC
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 1
SIN
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SIN
2 - 1
BAN
46%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nong Bua Pitchaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NBP
1 - 1
NAK
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RAT
2 - 1
NBP
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NBP
1 - 2
CHI
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
RAT
1 - 0
NBP
49%
24%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 1
NBP
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |