CAF Champions . Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Simba SC vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
CHI
4 - 0
SIM
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
SIM
3 - 1
DJF
60%
22%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 1
SIM
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
KAG
0 - 2
SIM
27%
28%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 1
SIM
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
CHI
4 - 0
SIM
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
SWA
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
MIL
2 - 1
CHI
22%
26%
52%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BLO
2 - 2
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
CHI
53%
27%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |