Sileks vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
4º
4º
59
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sileks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
FTK
2 - 1
SIL
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DYN
4 - 0
SIL
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SOG
1 - 1
SIL
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 0
SIL
58%
23%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RES
2 - 1
SIL
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 0
SHK
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
4 - 0
ZAL
28%
23%
49%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 4
PAK
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
DTB
0 - 2
SHK
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 1
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |