Sierre vs Italien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
68.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
7 - 2
SIE
82%
11%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
SIE
1 - 1
FCA
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
COL
3 - 1
SIE
80%
12%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SIE
1 - 3
VEY
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
3 - 1
SIE
41%
21%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Italien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
7 - 2
SIE
82%
11%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COL
4 - 1
ITA
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 4
VEY
49%
21%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 5
ITA
14%
17%
69%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
FCS
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |