Sierra Leone vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
63.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
STP
0 - 2
SLE
14%
18%
68%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
SLE
2 - 2
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
COD
3 - 0
SLE
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
4 - 0
SLE
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MLI
2 - 0
SLE
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
GNB
0 - 1
NGA
12%
20%
67%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
NGA
0 - 1
GNB
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
POR
4 - 0
NGA
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
CRC
2 - 0
NGA
43%
26%
30%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 1
NGA
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |