Sierra Leone vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CIV
2 - 2
SLE
81%
14%
5%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
DZA
0 - 0
SLE
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
SLE
0 - 2
COM
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
ETH
0 - 0
SLE
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
SLE
1 - 0
BEN
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
DZA
0 - 1
GNQ
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
GNQ
0 - 1
CIV
11%
20%
69%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
MRT
1 - 1
GNQ
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
GNQ
1 - 0
TUN
15%
24%
61%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ZMB
1 - 1
GNQ
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |