Sierra Leone vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
CPV
1 - 0
SLE
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SLE
2 - 2
TUN
19%
26%
56%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TUN
2 - 1
SLE
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TUN
0 - 0
SLE
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SLE
2 - 2
TUN
18%
26%
56%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
GNQ
1 - 1
TUN
11%
22%
67%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CPV
3 - 0
GNQ
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
GNQ
0 - 1
TGO
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GNQ
0 - 3
CPV
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GNQ
2 - 1
COD
22%
24%
55%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |