Sierning vs Grieskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
64.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
SIE
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SIE
1 - 1
NEU
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAD
3 - 1
SIE
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 4
SSM
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
SIE
15%
20%
65%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Grieskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
GRI
4 - 2
GMU
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
WEL
0 - 1
GRI
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
GRI
0 - 1
GRU
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
DON
3 - 4
GRI
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
GRI
3 - 0
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |