Siena vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 2
SIE
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SIE
2 - 3
SDT
68%
21%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 0
SIE
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
SIE
13%
19%
68%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 0
ACS
70%
20%
11%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
OST
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
PIA
2 - 2
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
SIN
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 2
MON
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 2
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |