Siena vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 2
SIE
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ABN
1 - 1
SIE
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
SIE
2 - 0
ASL
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
MOD
0 - 1
SIE
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
CAG
0 - 0
SIE
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
COM
0 - 3
MOD
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
COM
1 - 2
NAP
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
COM
0 - 0
CTT
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
FER
0 - 3
COM
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |