Siegburger SV 04 vs SpVgg Frechen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
15º
13º
39
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIA
2 - 1
SIE
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SIE
0 - 2
H05
27%
22%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BSC
2 - 0
SIE
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 1
HUR
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SVE
4 - 1
SIE
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Frechen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SPF
5 - 0
BWF
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BGP
2 - 2
SPF
19%
22%
59%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
VIA
0 - 4
SPF
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
0 - 0
SCF
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BER
3 - 1
SPF
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |