EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-5
Shrewsbury Town vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
STF
1 - 2
OPA
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1988 |
STF
2 - 1
PLY
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1988 |
STO
1 - 1
STF
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1988 |
STF
1 - 1
BAR
46%
30%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1988 |
ASV
1 - 0
STF
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
WAL
2 - 2
PLY
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1987 |
WAL
2 - 0
CHA
38%
24%
38%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1987 |
CHA
3 - 0
WAL
75%
15%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1987 |
WAL
0 - 0
WBA
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1987 |
WBA
2 - 3
WAL
64%
20%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |