Shrewsbury Town vs Hereford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GIL
0 - 1
STF
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 1
STF
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STF
2 - 1
SWI
53%
25%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
STF
3 - 1
SWA
22%
26%
53%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
STF
2 - 0
CRE
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hereford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
DAG
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
BOU
4 - 1
HER
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 0
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
ASV
2 - 0
HER
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
1 - 1
HER
68%
20%
13%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |