Shkupi vs Bregalnica Štip analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
11º
2º
38
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 85% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
POB
0 - 6
SHK
18%
27%
56%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SHK
3 - 1
FKS
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 3
SHK
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
SHK
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
4 - 2
TIK
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bregalnica Štip
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 0
BRE
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 0
BRE
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
TIK
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FCS
2 - 2
BRE
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 0
AKP
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |