Shkupi vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
11º
2º
27
5º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 48.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 1
SHK
38%
28%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 0
SHK
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
4 - 0
ZAL
28%
23%
49%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 4
PAK
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
DTB
0 - 2
SHK
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 1
AKP
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 1
FKD
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
AKP
7 - 0
KGE
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
KYZ
2 - 0
AKP
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ZOR
2 - 0
AKP
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |