Shirak II vs Erebuni FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
GAN
2 - 0
SHI
41%
25%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
SHI
1 - 2
BAN
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
SHI
0 - 1
ALA
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
ARA
3 - 0
SHI
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
SHI
2 - 0
PYU
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Erebuni FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
ERE
0 - 3
GAN
8%
15%
77%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GAN
3 - 0
ERE
77%
16%
8%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
PYU
8 - 0
ERE
59%
21%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
ERE
2 - 4
ARA
38%
24%
39%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
GAN
2 - 1
ERE
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -2 |