Shirak II vs Ararat-Armenia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SHI
3 - 2
ALA
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SYU
4 - 1
SHI
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 1
AND
78%
13%
9%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NIK
3 - 2
SHI
9%
15%
76%
|
44 | 6 | 38 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 4
LER
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
NIK
0 - 5
ARA
10%
17%
73%
|
53 | 13 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 1
LER
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
MIK
0 - 0
ARA
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 3
BKM
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
ONO
1 - 1
ARA
10%
17%
72%
|
53 | 20 | 33 | 0 |