Chinese Super League 9th to 16th Place Semi-finals

Global 2-3

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Shenzhen FC analysis

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Shenzhen FC
65 ELO 63
12.6% Tilt 5.4%
28743º General ELO ranking 19729º
111º Country ELO ranking 83º
ELO win probability
54%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
23.5%
Draw
22.5%
Shenzhen FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.5%
Win probability
Shenzhen FC
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
-23%
-19%
Shenzhen FC

ELO progression

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Shenzhen FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2020
SHE
Shenzhen FC
1 - 0
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
43%
25%
32%
66 63 3 0
22 Oct. 2020
SHI
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0 - 2
Dalian Pro
DAL
45%
25%
30%
66 68 2 0
17 Oct. 2020
DAL
Dalian Pro
1 - 2
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
52%
24%
25%
66 68 2 0
28 Sep. 2020
BEI
Beijing Guoan
4 - 0
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
73%
17%
11%
67 81 14 -1
25 Sep. 2020
SHI
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1 - 4
Chongqing Liangjiang
CHO
42%
25%
34%
68 70 2 -1

Matches

Shenzhen FC
Shenzhen FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2020
SHE
Shenzhen FC
1 - 0
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
43%
25%
32%
63 66 3 0
21 Oct. 2020
SHE
Shenzhen FC
1 - 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
47%
25%
29%
63 65 2 0
16 Oct. 2020
TIT
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2 - 0
Shenzhen FC
SHE
51%
24%
25%
63 64 1 0
27 Sep. 2020
SHE
Shenzhen FC
0 - 1
Jiangsu FC
JIA
15%
21%
64%
64 81 17 -1
24 Sep. 2020
DAL
Dalian Pro
1 - 3
Shenzhen FC
SHE
62%
21%
16%
63 70 7 +1