Shepton Mallet vs Ilfracombe Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepton Mallet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
NAT
1 - 3
SHE
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
HEA
2 - 0
SHE
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ILF
2 - 2
SHE
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
SHE
4 - 2
TOR
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
SHE
2 - 1
STR
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ilfracombe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ILF
1 - 0
STB
42%
22%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ILF
2 - 2
SHE
23%
21%
56%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
ILF
0 - 0
BFC
34%
22%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
ILF
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NAT
3 - 3
ILF
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |