Non League Div One Northern Midlands Round 23

Shepshed vs Sutton Coldfield Town analysis

Shepshed Sutton Coldfield Town
26 ELO 29
-10.2% Tilt -0.3%
11013º General ELO ranking 9283º
607º Country ELO ranking 441º
ELO win probability
39.9%
Shepshed
24.2%
Draw
35.9%
Sutton Coldfield Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
Shepshed
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.9%
Win probability
Sutton Coldfield Town
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Shepshed
-8%
+5%
Sutton Coldfield Town

Points and table prediction

Shepshed
Their league position
Sutton Coldfield Town
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
17º
14º
51
20º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Harborough Town
91
91
100%
Spalding United
89
89
100%
Anstey Nomads
88
88
100%
Hinckley LR
70
70
100%
Quorn
66
66
100%
Loughborough Dynamo FC
62
62
100%
Lye Town
61
61
100%
Corby Town
56
56
100%
Bedworth United
51
51
0%
Sutton Coldfield Town
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Walsall Wood
11º
50
50
11º
100%
Sporting Khalsa
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Boldmere St. Michaels
13º
48
48
13º
100%
Shepshed
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Coleshill Town FC
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Coventry Sphinx
16º
32
32
16º
0%
Cambridge City
17º
32
32
17º
0%
Rugby Town
18º
32
32
18º
0%
Rushden & Diamonds
19º
32
32
19º
0%
Gresley
20º
29
29
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Shepshed
Sutton Coldfield Town
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Shepshed
Sutton Coldfield Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shepshed
Shepshed
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Feb. 2024
SHE
Shepshed
2 - 3
Walsall Wood
WAL
23%
23%
54%
29 38 9 0
17 Feb. 2024
COL
Coleshill Town FC
1 - 6
Shepshed
SHE
58%
20%
22%
28 30 2 +1
03 Feb. 2024
SHE
Shepshed
1 - 1
Boldmere St. Michaels
BOL
25%
23%
52%
28 37 9 0
27 Jan. 2024
ANN
Anstey Nomads
2 - 1
Shepshed
SHE
79%
14%
7%
29 49 20 -1
23 Jan. 2024
WAL
Walsall Wood
2 - 1
Shepshed
SHE
66%
19%
15%
30 41 11 -1

Matches

Sutton Coldfield Town
Sutton Coldfield Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2024
CAM
Cambridge City
4 - 2
Sutton Coldfield Town
SUT
33%
24%
43%
32 25 7 0
24 Feb. 2024
SUT
Sutton Coldfield Town
1 - 0
Bedworth United
BED
56%
22%
23%
33 30 3 -1
17 Feb. 2024
LOU
Loughborough Dynamo FC
4 - 2
Sutton Coldfield Town
SUT
68%
18%
14%
35 42 7 -2
03 Feb. 2024
SUT
Sutton Coldfield Town
0 - 1
Lye Town
LYE
30%
25%
45%
37 44 7 -2
27 Jan. 2024
RUS
Rushden & Diamonds
1 - 0
Sutton Coldfield Town
SUT
15%
20%
65%
39 21 18 -2