Shepshed vs Glapwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
SHE
0 - 3
CAR
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
SHE
3 - 2
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
SHE
2 - 0
STO
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +4 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SHE
2 - 0
BRI
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 1
SHE
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Glapwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
GLA
2 - 0
SPA
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GLA
3 - 2
LIN
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
GLA
3 - 0
WIL
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GLA
2 - 1
GRA
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
GLA
6 - 2
GOO
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |