Shepshed vs Carlton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
72.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 2
SUT
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 0
SHE
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 3
SHE
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 2
MAR
36%
25%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
KID
1 - 2
SHE
81%
12%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Carlton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 2
CAR
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
ILK
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAR
25%
22%
54%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
KID
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
BRI
60%
21%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |