Shenzhen FC vs Guangzhou City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
WUH
2 - 1
SHE
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
SHE
0 - 2
SHA
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
QIN
2 - 1
SHE
38%
30%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SHE
3 - 2
XIA
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CHA
3 - 0
SHE
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 3
SHA
30%
29%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
QIN
2 - 1
GUA
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
GUA
0 - 0
XIA
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 0
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIA
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |