FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Sheffield United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
TRA
1 - 1
SHE
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
ARS
1 - 1
SHE
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1995 |
SHE
1 - 1
BIR
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
STO
2 - 2
SHE
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
IPS
1 - 1
SHE
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
MID
2 - 3
ARS
29%
29%
42%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
41%
28%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
ARS
1 - 1
SHE
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1996 |
NEW
2 - 0
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1995 |
ARS
1 - 3
WIM
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |