Shatin vs Hong Kong FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
58.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shatin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
SDI
6 - 0
SHA
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SHA
2 - 2
KWA
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MGS
5 - 0
SHA
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SHA
1 - 1
DOU
72%
17%
12%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SHA
2 - 1
HVA
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
HON
0 - 0
TMS
86%
9%
4%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAA
1 - 0
HON
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HON
2 - 3
MGS
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
DOU
0 - 3
HON
12%
16%
72%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HON
3 - 1
SDI
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |