Shanghai Jiading Huilong vs Nanjing City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
14º
14º
13
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
18 | 56 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 55 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 54 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 50 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 47 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 46 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 42 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 41 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 39 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 35 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 34 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 34 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 28 |
15º
|
33% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 19 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
81.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
18% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghai Jiading Huilong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
SHA
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 1
NHC
25%
21%
54%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
YAN
3 - 0
SHA
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DUF
1 - 0
SHA
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nanjing City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SHE
3 - 0
NAN
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 1
SJF
37%
28%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GFC
0 - 0
NAN
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 1
JXF
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
QYI
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |