Shanghai Changning vs Jiangxi Dark Horse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
68.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghai Changning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SCF
5 - 0
FQQ
42%
22%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 2
HBF
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
QYF
1 - 1
JIA
60%
20%
19%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 2
SSP
36%
23%
42%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
HSF
1 - 1
JIA
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
JIA
2 - 1
SHA
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | +1 |