Shandong Taishan vs Guangzhou City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SHI
2 - 1
SHA
37%
29%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 0
SAN
85%
11%
4%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
3 - 1
YAN
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 0
SHA
42%
25%
32%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
FCS
0 - 0
SHA
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guangzhou City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
JIA
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
1 - 0
GUA
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
YAN
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TIT
0 - 1
GUA
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -2 |