Shams Azar Qazvin vs Zob Ahan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
13º
5º
42
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shams Azar Qazvin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
AAK
2 - 0
SAQ
44%
30%
26%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
MES
0 - 3
SAQ
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SAQ
1 - 2
SPF
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
EKU
1 - 1
SAQ
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 2
SAQ
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Zob Ahan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
EKU
1 - 2
ZOB
25%
30%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
ZOB
0 - 0
SPF
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
ZOB
56%
26%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
ZOB
0 - 2
SEP
33%
28%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 2
ZOB
26%
30%
44%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |