UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 3-0
Shamrock Rovers vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
FIN
0 - 1
SHR
15%
25%
61%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
STP
1 - 2
SHR
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
SHR
1 - 0
BOH
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CLI
0 - 1
SHR
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 0
SHR
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
HIB
2 - 2
GZI
51%
24%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 2
FLO
48%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
FLO
2 - 1
HIB
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
GZI
2 - 1
HIB
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
HIB
3 - 1
BIR
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |